Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 106.540742 117.946165 129.550670 142.211805 155.607604 169.330965 184.424436
2024-12-15 88.275662 104.837854 122.380845 142.228038 163.942915 186.871724 212.805538
2024-12-22 76.112029 95.427361 116.516509 141.009816 168.441620 198.003262 232.056844
2024-12-29 68.610810 90.129406 114.233521 142.835390 175.469367 211.197554 252.930929
2025-01-05 62.896623 86.193853 112.893439 145.170547 182.582859 224.084614 273.116332
2025-01-12 56.150343 80.419434 108.892603 143.960682 185.239868 231.613871 286.995216
2025-01-19 49.409552 74.100855 103.775173 141.009584 185.505904 236.106244 297.155711
2025-01-26 47.113045 73.110992 104.909865 145.344152 194.179035 250.182299 318.223956
2025-02-02 44.498661 71.490794 105.092975 148.382937 201.206586 262.274550 336.963246
2025-02-09 40.221575 67.387704 101.925174 147.105318 202.890499 267.975686 348.173717
2025-02-16 36.364867 63.574389 98.901118 145.808664 204.387631 273.328695 358.875115
2025-02-23 33.836554 61.409035 97.864196 146.887184 208.691462 281.952554 373.382761
2025-03-02 31.207547 58.966359 96.383716 147.368756 212.275823 289.778348 387.063072
2025-03-09 28.999416 56.983522 95.409311 148.421597 216.521625 298.383000 401.681847
2025-03-16 26.136490 53.819810 92.669399 147.037627 217.599716 303.061673 411.539609
2025-03-23 24.599030 52.559605 92.467582 148.928083 222.772834 312.713243 427.372594
2025-03-30 23.339431 51.641280 92.679251 151.321633 228.559146 323.108153 444.112643
2025-04-06 21.077828 48.955214 90.259946 150.080692 229.605296 327.602424 453.658843
2025-04-13 18.503005 45.540117 86.626568 147.052617 228.228045 329.003735 459.366358
2025-04-20 18.148452 45.857697 88.444173 151.499989 236.594059 342.572072 479.995069
2025-04-27 17.467796 45.557351 89.313423 154.617079 243.213662 353.963499 497.975274
2025-05-04 15.725960 43.241184 87.062031 153.306613 243.946051 357.918369 506.774864
2025-05-11 14.118964 41.025000 84.857467 151.976511 244.586604 361.710499 515.340998